QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 51d2%0.30 Yes2 NoPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$2.2K 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.1noneWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$136.7 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.01 Yes1 NoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$113.3 24h volEnds in 802d68%2.0noneWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?$105.6 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.23%0noneEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$2.1 24h volEnds in 51d1%0.0noneJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Ends in 51d1%0.0noneWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$0 24h volEnds in 51d4%0.10 Yes1 NoNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto$0 24h volEnds in 51d98%0.1none"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?Not revealed in 2026$0 24h volEnds in 51dNot revealed in 202687%0.5noneEpstein storage units raided in 2026?$0 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.1noneJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?$0 24h volEnds in 51d2%0.0Diddy released from custody in 2026?$0 24h volEnds in 51d12%0.3none
