QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le PenEnds in 159dMarine Le Pen46%0.342%−47 Yes0 No2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jean-Luc Mélenchon$9.7K 24h volEnds in 159dJean-Luc Mélenchon96%0.195%−1noneNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Marine Le Pen$9.5K 24h volEnds in 159dMarine Le Pen91%0.588%−31 Yes0 NoFrench Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceJean-Luc Mélenchon$4.8K 24h volEnds in 159dJean-Luc Mélenchon54%3.545%−9noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceJean-Luc Mélenchon$3.9K 24h volEnds in 159dJean-Luc Mélenchon30%0.030%0noneFrench Presidential Election First Round WinnerMarine Le Pen$2.9K 24h volEnds in 159dMarine Le Pen86%0.580%−6noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: 4th PlaceRaphaël Glucksmann$819.1 24h volEnds in 159dRaphaël Glucksmann26%4.022%−4none2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?$734.5 24h volEnds in 158d8%4.3noneFrench election called by...?$587.1 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.1noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?24%+$485.1 24h volEnds in 159d24%+29%2.0noneFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?François Hollande$432.5 24h volEnds in 159dFrançois Hollande22%4.0noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot?13 or more$390.4 24h volEnds in 159d13 or more41%1.0noneLecornu out as French PM by...?$366 24h volTrading12%0.5noneWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$278.6 24h volEnds in 51d45%6.5noneWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?March 31$221.2 24h volEnds in 141dMarch 315%0.6none2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs PhilippeÉdouard Philippe$103.5 24h volEnds in 159dÉdouard Philippe61%2.5noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen Vote Share?31-34%$93 24h volEnds in 159d31-34%32%9.0noneFrench Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?Bruno Retailleau$77.4 24h volEnds in 122dBruno Retailleau31%4.0noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: Glucksmann Vote Share?<7%$73.3 24h volEnds in 159d<7%30%6.5noneFrench Presidential Election: United Right & Center Primary Announced?$47.9 24h volEnds in 158d26%2.5noneLe Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?April 17, 2027$20 24h volEnds in 158dApril 17, 202724%0.5noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon hits __% in any poll?20%$7.3 24h volEnds in 158d20%88%0.0noneWill anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?$0 24h volEnds in 159d5%0.0noneFrench Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen hits __% in any poll?38%$0 24h volEnds in 158d38%81%0.0none
