QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot$320K 24h volTradingGadi Eizenkot60%2.55 Yes6 NoWho will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Matan Kahana$14.8K 24h volEnds in 110dMatan Kahana93%54.090%−3noneIsraeli Knesset election annulled?Ends in 51d1%0.91%0none2hON CAM: Netanyahu Humiliated In Israeli Knesset; Shouting Match As Bennett Ambushes Bibi Mid-speechThe Times of IndiaIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?$6.7K 24h volTrading32%2.05 Yes0 NoNext Israeli government formed by...?December 31, 2026Ends in 232dDecember 31, 202641%4.040%−10 Yes1 NoWhich parties will be in the next Israeli government?TogetherEnds in 232dTogether84%7.082%−2noneWho will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?No second mandate$3.7K 24h volEnds in 416dNo second mandate47%0.545%−2noneNetanyahu out by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 202769%0.045%−24none2hIsrael’s newly elected parliament is already moving against NetanyahuThe Washington PostWhich coalition will form the next Israeli government?Other$2.6K 24h volEnds in 416dOther48%0.565%+171 Yes0 NoNext Israeli government # of seats?<58$2.3K 24h volEnds in 416d<5862%1.058%−4noneNext Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Yair LapidEnds in 110dYair Lapid38%0.522%−160 Yes1 NoNext Israeli Minister of Justice?No Next Minister by Feb 28Ends in 110dNo Next Minister by Feb 2835%1.541%+6noneNext Israeli Minister of Finance?No Next Minister by Feb 28Ends in 110dNo Next Minister by Feb 2829%0.035%+6noneNext Israeli Minister of Interior?No Next Minister by Feb 28$1.1K 24h volEnds in 110dNo Next Minister by Feb 2835%0.537%+21 Yes0 NoHow many Israeli elections before government formed?1$1.1K 24h volTrading167%2.0noneNext Israeli Minister of Defense?Avigdor LiebermanEnds in 110dAvigdor Lieberman35%12.320%−15noneFall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US SenateLula, Eizenkot, Dems$840.2 24h volTradingLula, Eizenkot, Dems62%8.50 Yes4 NoNext Israeli Minister of National Security?No Next Minister by Feb 28$436.1 24h volEnds in 110dNo Next Minister by Feb 2832%0.0noneHow many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?57–59$396.6 24h volEnds in 110d57–5937%2.5noneNext Israeli election called by...?December 31, 2027$368.1 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202753%7.0noneWhich parties will support the new Israeli government in the vote of confidence by February 28?Bennett 2026$358.5 24h volEnds in 110dBennett 202665%2.0noneIsrael Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?$357.4 24h volEnds in 416d17%2.5noneVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?$217.7 24h volEnds in 51d37%5.0noneNext Israeli government a minority government?$135 24h volEnds in 416d51%6.055%+4none
