QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola (D)$219.4K 24h volTradingMary Peltola (D)99%0.113 Yes4 NoMississippi Senate Election WinnerScott Colom (D)$57.6K 24h volTradingScott Colom (D)>99%0.36 Yes4 NoAlaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Peltola 3-6%$1.6K 24h volTradingPeltola 3-6%92%9.50 Yes1 NoNebraska Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 6-9%$1.2K 24h volTradingRepublican 6-9%57%11.0noneRhode Island Senate Election: Turnout350K-400K$873.1 24h volTrading350K-400K97%34.0noneVirginia Senate Election: Turnout3.5M-3.75M$802.1 24h volTrading3.5M-3.75M91%1.0noneMississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Democrat Wins$797.6 24h volTradingDemocrat Wins98%0.4noneSouth Dakota Senate Election: Turnout300K-325K$790.6 24h volTrading300K-325K97%2.7noneGeorgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Ossoff 18%+$716.6 24h volTradingOssoff 18%+88%3.5noneMichigan Senate Election Margin of VictoryEl-Sayed 6-9%$580.1 24h volTradingEl-Sayed 6-9%98%0.43 Yes0 NoFlorida Senate Election Margin of VictoryMoody 0-3%$551 24h volTradingMoody 0-3%94%0.41 Yes0 NoMaine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)700K-750K$544.5 24h volTrading700K-750K75%12.0noneTexas Senate Election: Turnout9.6M-10M$349.4 24h volTrading9.6M-10M94%3.5noneKansas Senate Election: Turnout1.1M-1.2M$298.2 24h volTrading1.1M-1.2M50%3.0noneTexas Senate Election Margin of VictoryTalarico 12%+$218.4 24h volTradingTalarico 12%+93%2.51 Yes0 NoNew Mexico Senate Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 21%+$161.5 24h volTradingDemocrat 21%+98%0.8noneNew Mexico Senate Election: Turnout700K-750K$100 24h volTrading700K-750K48%1.0noneOhio Senate Election: Turnout4.65M-4.8M$99.8 24h volTrading4.65M-4.8M50%22.0noneOhio Senate Election Margin of VictoryBrown 3-6%$84 24h volTradingBrown 3-6%>99%2.51 Yes0 NoNew Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout600K-650K$83.4 24h volTrading600K-650K95%4.3noneMontana Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 9-12%$70.4 24h volTradingRepublican 9-12%95%0.5noneKentucky Senate Election: Turnout1.4M-1.5M$43.7 24h volTrading1.4M-1.5M95%0.3noneTennessee Senate Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%$42.6 24h volTradingRepublican 10-15%94%0.0noneOklahoma Senate Election: Turnout1.1M-1.2M$30 24h volTrading1.1M-1.2M>99%0.0none
