QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryOther$8.2K 24h volTradingOther55%3.0noneBrazil Annual Inflation 20265.00-5.49%$6.6K 24h volEnds in 63d5.00-5.49%50%19.750%0noneWill Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?Ends in 51d14%1.533%+191 Yes0 NoWho will be the next President of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies?Hugo Motta$2K 24h volEnds in 110dHugo Motta63%6.0noneWho will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate?Davi Alcolumbre$2K 24h volEnds in 110dDavi Alcolumbre63%10.5noneAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 51d7%1.98%+1noneNext Brazilian Minister of Finance?Dario Durigan$1.6K 24h volEnds in 110dDario Durigan38%8.535%−3noneFall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US SenateLula, Eizenkot, Dems$1.4K 24h volTradingLula, Eizenkot, Dems62%4.40 Yes4 NoAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$937.2 24h volEnds in 51d4%1.0noneBank of Brazil decision in December?No Change$868.1 24h volEnds in 28dNo Change91%1.52 Yes0 NoBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?<-0.3%$566.1 24h volEnds in 21d<-0.3%50%3.9noneWill Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?$415.2 24h volEnds in 51d67%10.9noneNext Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?Wellington César Lima e Silva$285.7 24h volEnds in 110dWellington César Lima e Silva26%0.5noneNext Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?Mauro Vieira$285.3 24h volEnds in 110dMauro Vieira39%1.5noneBrazil presidential election annulled?$264.8 24h volEnds in 51d2%0.32%0noneBrazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?June 30, 2028$165.7 24h volEnds in 598dJune 30, 202829%0.0noneBank of Brazil Decision in March?No Change$120 24h volEnds in 127dNo Change58%0.00 Yes1 NoFlávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?December 31, 2027$110.5 24h volEnds in 141dDecember 31, 202731%2.5noneWill USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?↑5.75$36 24h volEnds in 51d↑5.7568%22.0noneWill the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?$16.2 24h volEnds in 51d20%0.5noneJair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?$13.7 24h volEnds in 141d28%6.01 Yes0 NoNext Brazilian Minister of Defense?Aloizio Mercadante$12 24h volEnds in 110dAloizio Mercadante16%1.5noneJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?$0 24h volEnds in 141d9%0.0noneFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?$0 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.0none
