QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
US imports Russian diesel by...?March 31Ends in 141dMarch 3113%10.013%00 Yes1 NoPutin out as President of Russia by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 20279%0.06%−3noneWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?ChinaEnds in 51dChina92%2.570%−223 Yes1 NoUkraine agrees not to join NATO by...?December 31, 2027$29.7K 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202729%0.520%−9noneUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 202724%0.522%−2noneTrump meets with Putin by...?November 30Ends in 20dNovember 3093%4.585%−81 Yes0 NoTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?$5.4K 24h volEnds in 51d93%5.085%−82 Yes0 NoBank of Russia Decision in February?No Change$4.7K 24h volEnds in 94dNo Change47%10.00 Yes1 NoWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?$2.9K 24h volEnds in 51d3%1.03%0noneWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 51d10%0.00 Yes3 NoWhere will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?No meeting by December 31, 2027$1.4K 24h volEnds in 416dNo meeting by December 31, 202777%1.01 Yes1 NoPutin meets with Iranian officials by...?December 31$1.4K 24h volEnds in 51dDecember 3162%2.0noneWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?December 31, 2027$1.1K 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202724%1.0noneBank of Russia decision in December?No change$1K 24h volEnds in 38dNo change83%0.00 Yes1 NoEU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?November 30$910.1 24h volEnds in 51dNovember 3043%0.5noneWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?December 31, 2027$842.3 24h volEnds in 51dDecember 31, 202725%0.0noneAnother commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?November 15$517.5 24h volEnds in 51dNovember 1584%4.5noneRussia x Ukraine Peace Combo$393.5 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.1noneWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?$390.3 24h volEnds in 51d6%3.50 Yes1 NoPutin visits US by December 31, 2026?$303.3 24h volEnds in 51d14%1.0noneElon Musk meets with Putin by...?March 31$283.9 24h volEnds in 141dMarch 3123%6.5noneWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$207.9 24h volEnds in 51d2%0.2noneEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?December 31, 2027$166.8 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202725%1.5noneBank of Russia Decision in March?No Change$133.8 24h volEnds in 129dNo Change62%0.01 Yes0 No
