QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 31Ends in 47dDecember 318%0.010%+22 Yes5 NoWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in 2027?August 2027$2.6K 24h volEnds in 412dAugust 202729%0.0noneShip traffic through the Panama Canal week of November 16?200+$2.3K 24h volEnds in 8d200+29%0.0Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?June 30, 2027$1.7K 24h volEnds in 412dJune 30, 202748%0.0noneShip traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?190+$1.1K 24h volEnds in 8d190+51%0.0noneShip traffic through the Suez Canal week of November 16?300+$868.9 24h volEnds in 8d300+54%0.0Ship traffic through the Malacca Strait week of November 16?1600+$849.7 24h volEnds in 8d1600+50%0.0Peak daily ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?36+$757.2 24h volEnds in 8d36+47%0.0noneShip traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?26+$690.4 24h volEnds in 8d26+47%0.0none7-day average ship traffic through the Panama Canal on December 31?26+$689 24h volEnds in 47d26+46%0.0How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?170-189$652.3 24h volEnds in 30h170-18965%24.5nonePeak daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz week of November 16?7+$569.2 24h volEnds in 8d7+49%0.0none7-day average ship traffic through the Suez Canal on December 31?48+$359.6 24h volEnds in 47d48+51%0.07-day average ship traffic through the Panama Canal on November 30?25+$358.9 24h volEnds in 16d25+51%0.0Somali Pirates successfully seize a vessel by...?$326.4 24h volEnds in 47d67%0.0none7-day average ship traffic through the Malacca Strait on December 31?220+$290 24h volEnds in 47d220+50%0.07-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on December 31?28+$243.4 24h volEnds in 47d28+47%0.0noneHighest 7-day average ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by December 31?40+$242 24h volEnds in 47d40+50%0.0none0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?March 31, 2027$220.3 24h volEnds in 137dMarch 31, 202733%0.0none7-day average ship traffic through the Malacca Strait on November 30?190+$220 24h volEnds in 16d190+50%0.07-day average ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on December 31?6+$203 24h volEnds in 47d6+49%0.0none7-day average ship traffic through the Suez Canal on November 30?44+$162 24h volEnds in 16d44+49%0.0Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?March 31, 2027$100 24h volEnds in 137dMarch 31, 202727%0.0none0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?January 31, 2027$42 24h volEnds in 137dJanuary 31, 202764%0.0none
